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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2021-12-20T20:29Z

Model Inputs:
2021-12-20T05:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-13.0, Lat.=-1.0, Speed=357.0, HalfAngle=31.0, Time21.5=2021-12-20T14:35Z
2021-12-20T12:36:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-7.0, Lat.=-13.0, Speed=546.0, HalfAngle=35.0, Time21.5=2021-12-20T18:26Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2021-12-23T10:57Z (+- 7 hours)
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 18.9 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.1
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=4
(kp)135=5
(kp)180=5

Other Location(s) Impact:
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2021-12-23T15:34Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2021-12-23T20:52Z
STEREO B with estimated shock arrival time 2021-12-23T06:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20211220_143500_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :

Submitted on 2021-12-20T20:35Z by Mary Aronne

A Notification with ID 20211220-AL-001 was sent on 2021-12-20T20:55Z
A Notification with ID 20211221-AL-001 was sent on 2021-12-21T13:23Z

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